Though there are a whole lot of Modi critics will to strike the government, but undeniably this is positive news for the country. This is the first time that India has climbed so dramatically in the ease of doing business rankings and it sends a message to international investors that the government is committed to slashing India’s notorious red tape and rolling out the red carpet for them.
And its welcome news for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who has come under fire for his handling of a series of big economic reforms that have slowed growth sharply. Modi’s government took advantage of the World Bank announcement to defend its policies.
“I remember in the very first year, the prime minister had said our target should be to take India into the [top] 50, I believe this is doable,” Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said at a press conference. “There’s huge scope for us to now jump from this position of 100.”
The World Bank also named India as one of the top 10 countries in reforming its business environment, recognizing its strengthened protections for minority investors and progress in digitization.
“Today’s result is a very clear signal from India to the rest of the world, not only is the country open and ready for business, it’s now competing as a preferred place to do business,” said Annette Dixon, the World Bank’s vice president, South Asia Region.
A slowing economy
But the Ease of Doing Business index presents only a partial snapshot of what’s happening on the ground. In the last 12 months, Modi’s government carried out two huge reforms which political rivals have described as torpedoes: The first, demonetization that replaced high denomination notes; the second, a GST, national tax system that replaced more than a dozen state and central taxes.
Following the changes, India’s growth slowed to 5.7 percent in the first half of 2017, its weakest rate in three years. Reserve Bank of India has slashed its growth forecast for the current fiscal year to 6.7% from 7.3%.
And researchers estimate that the economy lost approximately 20 lakh jobs between January and August this year due to both the reform measures.
A tale of two cities
The survey is conducted across major cities in 190 countries around the world. In most countries, it focuses on only one city per country. In larger countries, it looks at two.
In India’s case, it covers Delhi, the capital, and Mumbai, the leading financial center. That leaves out vast swathes of the country of 1.3 billion people, and some major business locations such as Bangalore and Hyderabad.
Another criticism is that countries get credit for passing laws, even if they haven’t been widely implemented yet.
A new law mandating speedier resolution of bankruptcy cases, for example, has “really not been tested in the courts”. On paper this is exactly the right direction to travel.
Moving further ahead in the rankings will require changes in business culture. Getting from 100 to 90 or 80 or 70, that’s much, much harder.